Evaluating criticality of strategic metals: Are the Herfindahl–Hirschman Index and usual concentration thresholds still relevant?
Résumé
This paper aims to evaluate the criticality of strategic metals by (i) investigating the validity of the Herfindahl–
Hirschman Index (HHI) for assessing the supply risk aspect of criticality and (ii) determining an appropriate
threshold for using this indicator in the context of criticality studies. Relying on a large panel of 33 strategic
metals over the 1995–2021 period, our findings show that the variation of HHI has more impact on metal
prices at lower HHI levels and question the existence of a threshold that clearly distinguishes high-risk markets
from less risky ones based on their concentration levels. Overall, we show that using the HHI as a supply risk
indicator, especially in conjunction with a threshold, may result in underestimating risks in less concentrated
markets.
Origine | Publication financée par une institution |
---|---|
Licence |